Learning from the curve

Recent Posts

  • Predicting hospitalizations and positive cases in Belgium

    As explained in a previous post COVID-SIR, epidemiologists have very performant models to understand the evolution of an epidemic. Probably the best known is the so-called SIR that allows to easily model the evolution of an epidemic relying on the reproduction number R0 and the infectious period of a pathogen.

  • After the great lockdown: five uncomfortable truths to work out

    The narrative around ther Covid-19 has evolved drastically across time. It was first "a bug that has no evidence to spread to humans" and "it is like another flu", to, "the Covid-19 pandemic is real"; "social shutdown is the only way to flatten the curve of diffusion of the disease", and now: "we have managed it, it is time to exit and to look forward".

  • COVID-19 Pandemic and Pollution: Evidence from Belgium and France

    • Jun 29, 2020
    • -
    • I. Natali and S. Amaral-Garcia

    The outbreak of COVID-19, which is the most serious public health crisis in decades, is bringing complex challenges worldwide. Fighting this pandemic requires a better understanding of the so-called ‘risk factors’ associated with the spread of the virus. Identifying the driving forces favoring the diffusion of the virus is a topic of primary importance, not only to contain the rapid spread of the current pandemic, but also to prevent the occurrence of future pandemics.

  • Mitigating the economic consequences of COVID-19 - give priority to a demand-side policy

    The COVID-19 crisis hit hard both healthcare and economic systems. The objective of this short column is to try and identify how badly the pandemic may damage our long-term productive capacity. While it is clear that it will bring about an extremely deep recession, we argue that the effects will mainly be determined by the demand-side of the economy. This calls for aggressive demand stabilization policies.


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Learning from the curve

An open source research project on COVID19 and economics. A collaboration between academics to reach out to policy makers and the general public.

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